As the nation comes out of its collective food coma, they shake off the two blowout games we witnessed on Netflix on Christmas Day and realize “Oh wait, there’s more football on today.” The Seattle Seahawks travel to Chicago to take on the reeling Chicago Bears in a game that feels like my Christmas hangover. The last few days of the year are all about keeping the lights on and getting some rest. So as you’re sending innocuous emails to “circle back in the New Year” and enjoying all of the leftover food, don’t forget to work in one more helping of football.
If you like my picks, lock them in with the widgets below!
Seattle Seahawks (-4) @ Chicago Bears, O/U 42.5
The Seahawks’ luck has changed in recent weeks. After surging out of the bye and taking the lead in the NFC West, they dropped games to the Packers and the Vikings to fall out of playoff contention. Now they need help to pass the Rams and punch their ticket to the postseason. They can make their odds better by stringing together some wins and it starts with Chicago. The Bears have lost nine straight games after starting the season 4-2. The Seahawks are hoping to extend that streak, but they’ll likely be without Ken Walker in the lineup. When they struggle to run the ball, the offense relies too heavily on Geno Smith and stalls out. I don’t think they’ll be consistent enough to win by a margin against a Bears defense with some talented players in the secondary, despite underperforming. If you wait long enough, you may be able to get +4.5.
Pick: Chicago +4
Who’s the Number One Receiver in Seattle?
Former first-round pick Jaxon Smith-Njigba has had a breakout season for Seattle. He’s been the most consistent target all season and seemingly usurped DK Metcalf as the lead receiver for the Seahawks. But after dealing with some injuries in the middle of the season, Metcalf has looked healthier each game and you’re getting a discount on his yardage prop now that all eyes are on Smith-Njigba. Metcalf is still one of the premier wide receivers in the league, and if he draws coverage from CB2, I like his chances to have a big game. Normally, he’s lined in the 70-85-yard range, but for this contest, his over/under sits at 59.5. He’s also known for explosive chunk plays and can cover this line in one play if Smith-Njigba still commands a bulk of the workload. Either way, I expect Geno Smith to throw a lot of passes due to the injuries in the run game, and some of those will go Metcalf’s way.
Pick: DK Metcalf Over 59.5
Discover more from Hot Garbage
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
