Boy oh boy can the betting streets be tough! Last week’s 3-0 start turned into a 3-3 finish, with a brutal Hail Mary loss. Everyone has seen the video at this point, but what are we really doing here. Knock the ball down? Bring some pressure? Call a timeout? Really unbelievable stuff, but that’s the way it is.The Jets’ missed kicks have been painful this season, and I honestly thought we’d lose due to a missed extra point, but they managed to lose outright. Cowboys on SNF? Just a bad call. Let’s bounce back strong for Week 9.

BUF -5.5 vs MIA
I put this in early at -6.5 unfortunately and again at -5.5. I’m assuming money has been coming in on the Dolphins. Sure, Tua is back, and it’s a lot of points for a divisional game, but I don’t think Miami’s defense is going to be able to stop the Bills who have destroyed mid/bad teams, it’s kind of their thing.  We’ll never feel great about this number given the potent Miami offense, but Tua is 1-7 against Buffalo; let’s keep that streak going with Bills -5.5.

DAL +3 @ ATL

I’m backkkk! Do I want to take the Cowboys? Absolutely not. Do I need to take the Cowboys? Yes, yes I do. I won’t bore you with the numbers but Dak performs well ATS after a loss. Atlanta’s offense, inflated by big games against Tampa, could face reality here. The Cowboys, hopefully healthier on defense, provide a classic buy-low, sell-high spot. It’s risky, but I’ll take DAL +3.

NE +3.5 @ TEN

This game should be fun to watch. Maybe it will end 3-0 and we cover? There are a few reasons I like New England here. Home favorites coming off of a 30+ point loss are 42% ATS and I expect people to take the Titans after that awful showing, expecting a bounce back. Teams after playing the Lions have also been brutal this year the following week. I don’t really care who plays QB for the Patriots, we just need him to not turn the ball over and I think the Pats should cover this number above a field goal. NE +3.5

WAS -3.5 @ NYG

Every number would say take the Giants. This number is very stinky and Daniel Jones plays good against one team historically, that would be Washington. No Tyrone Tracy could be big as he’s actually looked good and I am just riding Washingtons momentum here. I don’t have a lot of analysis besides take the much better team and expect to somehow not cover WAS -3.5.

CLE +1.5 vs LAC

Struggling with the 5th game I like enough to put in this article, I’m going with the Browns. It doesn’t feel great as I think people will buy back in on the Browns and Jameis, only to be let down. I’m hoping the market hasn’t adjusted enough to the upgrade at QB and the fact their offensive line has gotten so much healthier. The Browns d is a bit banged up, and the Chargers passing game has looked better. Both of these teams are tough to gage but the Chargers don’t bring a ton of pressure, so hopefully Winston will have time to move the ball and pull out a win here. I also like the fact that the Chargers are flying across country to play outside. Going with CLE +1.5.

Bonus Picks
Taking the Bears ML and Saints -7. Packers might be the “right side,” but I’m staying away and will just enjoy the game. Opinions are also split on LA/SEA.

Good luck this week!