The Kansas City Chief’s blood magic is far worse than the dynasty New England Patriots ever was. From changed calls on penalties, missed inferences, narrowly surviving against bad teams, and everything else in between, this is one of the weakest one-loss teams we’ve seen in NFL history. Still, I think they’re going to win it all. No matter what Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid look like in the regular season, it’s incredibly difficult to pick against them in the postseason. We’ve seen it all before, and we’ll definitely see it again. I don’t know if Harbaugh football will be enough to change that. 

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Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs (-4), O/U 42.5

When these teams faced off earlier this season, the Chargers weren’t at full strength and the Chiefs controlled the game from start to finish. That being said, it only ended up being a 7-point win. The Chiefs have struggled to win by margin all season, which makes it difficult to pick them as over a field goal favorite in any situation. But they’re getting healthier, and with some offensive weapons returning to the lineup, I wouldn’t be surprised to see this offense come on down the stretch.

As for Los Angeles, J.K. Dobbins meant a lot to this team. Harbaugh wants to run the ball and play defense, and Dobbins looked like his vintage self over the past couple of months. But, as always, the problem with J.K. Dobbins is that he sustained yet another injury and is not playing in this game. The Gus Edwards, Haasan Haskins, and Kimani Vidal platoon is formidable in short-yardage situations but cannot sustain long drives on the ground. Standout rookie WR Ladd McConkey is also dealing with injuries, and no other Chargers pass catcher is stepping up when they need to. It pains me to say this, but I think it’s going to be all Chiefs Sunday night.

Pick: Kansas City -4

Not the Same Ol’ Harbaugh

Early in the season, it was clear that Harbaugh wanted to run, run, run. But, without J.K. Dobbins in the lineup, they haven’t been finding success on the ground. Justin Herbert’s career has been rejuvenated this year with adequate coaching, and they haven’t been hesitant to lean on him when the run game peters out. Like I said previously though, his receivers have been unreliable outside of Ladd McConkey. The Chiefs also boast one of the best run defenses in the league, so I expect the game plan to be using Herbert’s arm in this one. I don’t know if they’ll be caught, but Herbert will attempt a lot of passes on Sunday night.

Pick: Justin Herbert Over 34.5 Passing Attempts