The Texas Longhorns are ranked No. 3, and analysts like Lee Corso are already anointing this team as this season’s eventual national champions. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves.

There’s something about Texas that just doesn’t feel legit. Sure, they’ve got Quinn Ewers and Arch Manning at QB and a bunch of other studs. But this is also a team that is 2-6 against teams ranked in the top 15 and which has lost two straight bowl games in the Ewers Era.

Yes, in this first year of the 12-team College Football Playoffs, the Longhorns are probably a lock to make the tournament. We’re just not going with them Saturday at No. 10 Michigan (+7 at DraftKings).

It’s not really going out on limb to pick the Wolverines. They’ve won 29 straight regular-season games and are 41-3 dating back to Week 1 in 2021. They’ve won 23 straight in Ann Arbor.

Former walk-on Davis Warren is making only his second career start at QB for Michigan, but former coach Jim Harbaugh saw something in the kid, and Harbs has been pretty darn decent at picking his signal-callers.

Warren might not light up the scoreboard Saturday — he didn’t in the lackluster Week 1 win over Fresno State — but Michigan defensive linemen Mason Graham and Kenneth Grant will give Ewers just enough trouble to give Michigan the slight edge.

Utah State at No. 13 USC (-28.5)

OK, there’s no way the Trojans lose to the Aggies. There’s also no way USC covers the four-touchdown-plus margin. They’re still flying incredibly high after their last-minute upset victory over LSU, but they’ve also got Michigan in two weeks, then Minnesota, Wisconsin and Penn State.

USC QB Miller Moss will certainly get enough yardage and points with WR Zachariah Branch and other targets. Utah State’s offense, which amassed 650 yards in its win over Robert Morris last weekend, will muster enough against an occasionally complacent USC team to keep this game within four TDs.

No. 19 Kansas (-5) at Illinois

The Illini a +5-point home underdog? Seeking revenge for their defeat to the Jayhawks last season? Pretty juicy, right?

Wrong. Forget about vengeance in this one. The Jayhawks’ offense is on a tear. They’ve scored 49, 49 and 48 points in their past three games dating back to the end of last season.

In the teams’ 2023 matchup, KU engineered four drives of 75 yards or more to take a 34-7 lead in the third quarter.

Jayhawks QB Jalon Daniels, who threw for 277 yards and 2 TDs vs Illinois last year, is healthy after recovering from a back injury. KU running back Devin Neal has 13 career 100-yard rushing games.

Colorado at Nebraska (-7)

Look — it would be fairly easy to go with the Cornhuskers in this one. Buffaloes coach Deion Sanders started 2023 with a roar but then lost eight of their last nine games. They barely beat North Dakota State last weekend.

But, despite all the niceties Sanders is throwing out at Nebraska coach Matt Rhule this week, you know deep down he and his son Shedeur want to beat the crap out of Nebraska in Lincoln on Saturday. And they will.

Shedeur passed for 445 yards vs NDSU, and he and his dad are probably still stinging from what they felt was a lack of respect shown by Rhule after the Buffs’ 36-14 win last year.

Plus, Colorado has beaten Nebraska three straight times. Neon Deion will be lighting up the Lincoln night Saturday.

Arkansas at No. 16 Oklahoma State (-7.5)

It’s hard to gauge this matchup based on last weekend’s results — the Razorbacks trashed Arkansas-Pine Bluff 70-0 and the Cowboys dismantled South Dakota State 44-20.

Hogs double-threat QB Taylen Green will find the cracks in OSU’s defense, and the Cowboys will counter with solid offensive performers in RB Ollie Gordon and QB Alan Bowman.

It will be close, but don’t expect Cowboys to cover 7.5.