Another positive week for the program. Hoping if you read the article, you put Carolina on your card as well. Let’s dive into week 14 and stay hot!
GB +3.5 @ DET
Detroits’ linebackers are now decimated by injuries to go along with the rest of their banged up defense. Jaire Alexander out for Green Bay is tough, but I think given how injury-riddled the Lions defense is, and with the Packers offense looking better and better, I’m going to take the hook here and lean Packers. Both offenses should be able to move the ball and I expect the back door to always be open for the Packers to cover. GB +3.5.
NO -3.5 @ NYG
Fair warning here, this game is completely a gut feeling. While I can’t imagine anybody wanting to bet on this game in general, I would think even less people will want to bet on the Giants. I believe sharp money is on the Giants for whatever reason, this number was bet down from around 5. There are two big factors that have me leaning Saints. 1. The Giants’ injuries and overall seemingly mess of an organization at this point. 2. The Saints, although 4-8, are not completely dead in the division. They should still be motivated and have the Bucs on their schedule which could be a meaningfull game. The board seems tough to me this week, I don’t love this game at all, but I’m going with my gut here and hoping the Giants are completely dead and throw up a stinker. NO -3.5.
CLE +7 @ PIT
7 points is always enticing with Jameis. Who knows what we’ll get. Pro money is on Cleveland and it seems like a good spot to back them in a divisional game after Pitt offense looked incredible and the Browns got torched on national TV. Jameis is 66% ATS as a dog, and Action Network’s luck rankings have the Steelers as the 2nd luckiest team and the Browns as one of the most unlucky in the league. It’s a revenge spot for the Steelers, but we just saw that the Browns can play with them. Let’s take the points here and hope we get good Jameis. CLE +7.
CHI +4 @ SF
Keep an eye on injuries here, but no Trent Williams and Bosa again, with a seemingly banged up Purdy, has me on the Bears right now. I think that it will be a very public dog which is always scary, but Chicago finally firing their coach should have the team motivated. They have some talent decent talent and the 49ers’ injury situation seems too drastic to cover 3.5. I’m backing the Bears +4 in San Fran.
KC -3.5 @ LAC
I hope this line indicates the public likes the Chargers and is scared to back the Chiefs, which would be understandable. I just love this spot for Mahomes and the Chiefs to put up a great game, finally. I’d love this even more if rookie receiver Ladd McConkey sits for the Chargers, but still like KC regardless. The Chargers’ offense has fallen off of a cliff since the Dobbins injury, and their receivers can’t get open against man, which is what they’ll see from the Chiefs. On the other side of the ball, Pacheco back should give an advantage to a power run game and Mahomes dices up zone defense. I like this spot for KC to hold the Chargers under 20 and cover the 3.5.
Good luck this week and let’s make some money!
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