Quite often, past is NOT prologue in sports. Just because a team or player did outstanding in the previous season is not a guarantee they will replicate that. We’re here to tell you that some NFL futures options — as enticing as they may look — are not going to bear the kind of fruit (money) you think.

2025 Super Bowl Winner

The Philadelphia Eagles are at +1500 (DraftKings) to take the title, which might seem intriguing until you realize Nick Siriani is still head coach after supervising one of the biggest midseason meltdowns in NFL history.

You think Aaron Rodgers, 40 years old and coming off a torn Achilles’ tendon, is going to conjure up the magic from 2010 and lead the sad sack New York Jets (+2000) to their first title since Broadway Joe Namath in 1969? Please. It’s the frickin’ Jets.

Is this finally the year Jerry Jones gets his elusive fourth title with big Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys (+1900)? Have you been paying attention to how No. 4 handles himself during the postseason? Not this year, Dallas, and not ever with Prescott.

NFL MVP

Jared Goff (+2000) has been reborn with the Detroit Lions, and came a couple of missed fourth-down conversions from getting to the Super Bowl last season. Look, we like Goff. He’s solid and can sometimes look excellent, but feels like he’s hit his ceiling already.

Aaron Rodgers at +1600? See above.

Tua Tagovailoa (+2500) and the Miami Dolphins can score in bunches, yes, but he hasn’t shown he can command a game. Moreover, Miami has been putrid against top-quality teams and in cold weather. That won’t help Tua’s MVP cause in December and January.

Kirk Cousins (+3500) has another new home in Atlanta, and why does it feel like this guy gets more hype and more money the longer he plays with his 1-playoff win resume? Weird.

OK, taking a shot at the 49ers’ Brock Purdy (+1600) seems like the usual diss of Mr. Irrelevant 2022 that everyone seems to do. The guy is obviously good, with a NFC Championship Game runner-up and Super Bowl runner-up on his res. But this SF team is ready for some major offensive knocks. Age is creeping up on George Kittle, Brandon Aiyuk will either not be on the team or be fairly disgruntled, and Christian McCaffrey might not be able to stay largely injury-free as he has in SF.

If Purdy loses those weapons, his numbers could drop pretty significantly.

OPOY

Yeah, Puka Nacua (+3000) became somewhat of a household name — at least fantasy football households. But no way is he going to catch 105 passes again, and a WR with less than 15 yards per catch is not going to wow the voters enough.

Not sure why Saquon Barkley (+1600) is even less than +2000. Maybe it’s because he escaped the New York Giants and got to Philly. Yeah, he’ll get a lot of carries and catches, but unless the Eagles make a serious bounceback this season, no way does he get OPOY.

DPOY

49ers stud edge Nick Bosa (+700) has already won this, but don’t expect No. 2. More and more, he’s disappearing for lengthy stretches of games. Even though he has become a better tackler over the years, the constant double-teams (and O-line holding) are grinding him down and he is seeming more susceptible to injuries.

It’s also hard to imagine Cowboys pass-rusher Micah Parsons (+550) winning his first DPOY either. He does not play his best in big games, and we are predicting here that Dallas has a fairly significant downturn this year. The shine is wearing off in Big D.

Coach of the Year

Everything about Dan Campbell (+1600) reads ‘bad-ass coach’ — his size, his constant risk-taking, the fact that he looks like he’d be more comfortable on a construction site. As well as DC has done in Detroit, the gut feeling here is that he takes a bit of a dip this season. It’s hard to imagine Detroit having a third straight season of upward trajectory. There’s only one way for this team to go this season, and that’s down — at least temporarily.